An rational analysis of college football.

Sunday, May 21, 2006

World Cup

OK, it isn't college sports, its pro sports. But college athletes are essentially professionals now anyway, so the line is one I am willing to step over.

So who is going to win the World Cup in 2006.

USA - no chance. I will be cheering for them, but they are unlikely to win a game and wont escape from their group.

England - nope. With all their strikers hobbled, they will be toothless. Expect a noble effort and start thinking 2010.

Brazil - unlikely. Sure, they have the talent, but only once has a South American team ever won the cup when the tournament was held in Europe. OK, that team was Brazil...still.

France - maybe. If Henry and Trez get going, France is always dangerous. But the midfield will not be what it was in 1998.

Holland - maybe. Like Brazil, they have the talent, and they are close to home.

Italy - a fair bet. Plenty of goal scoring potential, and traditionally good defense, though perhaps not what it was. Still, should Italy keep most of its players out of prizon, they will be tough.

Germany - the favorite. They are at home, and Close can still score. Their midfield is very strong, goal tending excellent (when the keeper isn't red carded) and they always offer a well organized defense.

What of Spain, Argentina, Africa, Asia or Eastern Europe? Yeah, yeah. If you want to put your money there go ahead, but don't blame me. If I was a betting man (which I am) I would look to the central European powers in this order: Germany, Italy, France, Holland. OK, put Brazil in there too. God knows they have more talent than all four of those teams combined.

Friday, May 19, 2006

Duke Lacrosse?

The scandal at Duke University is only the tip of the iceberg. The problem is not rich, privledged white boys gone wild. That problem has always and will always exist. The problem is college sports.

At what point in history did the institutions of higher learning, those institutions whose first order of business is to serve and protect civilization, tie their fortunes to the 18-22 year old athletes?

Contrary to the myth, college sports produce very little in the way of revenue. Research indicates that only a few (about 25-30) elite football schools operate athletic departments that operate in the black. For the majority of colleges and universities, athletics is net financial loss. So why are virtually all American colleges and universities so hell bent building and maintaining their athletic programs.

Unfortunately, the answer is still money. But it isn’t the direct revenue stream that you have been led to believe.

The general populace, which funds higher education through regular citizens taxes, tuition, direct gifts and garments bearing the college logos, has never had much interest in education, or the service and protection of civilization. Most citizens get bored with discussions of genetics, mathematical theory, literary theory, particle physics, and art history. But the citizenry loves sport. In particular, they like football, but many can be enticed to watch the other sports as well. Even most Duke University graduates don’t know about the two new literature professors Duke just hired, but they know who the basketball coach is, and they know that Duke’s lacrosse team is ranked in the top 5. That is, until the team embarrassed itself with a series of extra curricular activities so boorish that team members are finally facing court dates.

By maintaining a sporting presence, the universities essentially justify their existence to the general populace. Colleges have joined the entertainment industry. And this industry justifies their existence to the people who support them. Few citizens of Georgia would care that the University of Georgia was planning to eliminate its philosophy department. But there would be thousands of letters to the state congress, the governor and the president of the university, if it were planning to eliminate its football program.

The result, our colleges give athletes a lot of rope academically and socially. Universities dramatically lower academic standards for athletes, because the athletes are the connection between the university and the populace. For the same reason, the university is likely to overlook misbehavior, until that misbehavior creates enough bad publicity to offset the positive publicity created by the athletic program.

It is often argued that the college athletes don’t behave any worse than the average student and certainly this is true. But the average student doesn’t matter because the average student isn’t part of the college entertainment industry that funds the institution.

So long as colleges and universities are tied to the populace in this fashion, great institutions like Duke University will be susceptible to the misbehavior of a handful drunk lacrosse players.