An rational analysis of college football.

Sunday, May 21, 2006

World Cup

OK, it isn't college sports, its pro sports. But college athletes are essentially professionals now anyway, so the line is one I am willing to step over.

So who is going to win the World Cup in 2006.

USA - no chance. I will be cheering for them, but they are unlikely to win a game and wont escape from their group.

England - nope. With all their strikers hobbled, they will be toothless. Expect a noble effort and start thinking 2010.

Brazil - unlikely. Sure, they have the talent, but only once has a South American team ever won the cup when the tournament was held in Europe. OK, that team was Brazil...still.

France - maybe. If Henry and Trez get going, France is always dangerous. But the midfield will not be what it was in 1998.

Holland - maybe. Like Brazil, they have the talent, and they are close to home.

Italy - a fair bet. Plenty of goal scoring potential, and traditionally good defense, though perhaps not what it was. Still, should Italy keep most of its players out of prizon, they will be tough.

Germany - the favorite. They are at home, and Close can still score. Their midfield is very strong, goal tending excellent (when the keeper isn't red carded) and they always offer a well organized defense.

What of Spain, Argentina, Africa, Asia or Eastern Europe? Yeah, yeah. If you want to put your money there go ahead, but don't blame me. If I was a betting man (which I am) I would look to the central European powers in this order: Germany, Italy, France, Holland. OK, put Brazil in there too. God knows they have more talent than all four of those teams combined.

2 Comments:

Blogger ecrowell said...

I'm not so sure about Brazil. I think there is a unique momentum in Brazil fuled by recent polical winds.

With the immegration issue hot in the US and reform taking root in Brazil, I think there may be some momentum for them to win.

8:16 AM

 
Blogger dr. jack said...

Certainly it would be foolish to count the Brazilians out. They are by far the most talented team. My prediction was merely based on past results and the tendency for South American teams to fail in Europe. Brazil is the only team to have succeeded in Europe, but I am not sure that this current batch of players is the group to do it again.

1:05 PM

 

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